Spot prices

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Friday, September 30, 2011

Global economic still seems very weak

Ina a report this morning from UBS by Edel Tully she reports that Central bank buying was strong from many Central Banks in August while the prices were high. This appears a bullish signal. All things being equal the global economic still seems very weak with poor numbers from consumers in both Germany and France today. It also seems that recent fund redemptions have been a major drive of the market on the downside. These redemptions forced liquidations form companies like Man which lost $2.6 billion and with their market losses and stack valuation added together lost capitalization for over $6 billion. Hence leverage works both ways, in this case it worked against this group and there were most likely other firms that have suffered the same consequences of late. Several reports this morning are expecting better results than original projected from the Auto Sector reports due out on Monday. Despite this fundamentally bullish news for the PGMs they are down 1% this morning. For the PGMs and silver price recovery will remain difficult if gold does not take the lead. The recent volatility and burn that many investors have taken may have scared off some money for the short term. Still for the foreseeable future we can expect to stay range bound unless some unexpected news hits the wires. Today’s’ news release were close to expectations though Chicago Manufacturing Index was better than expected.
9/30/2011 10:07
Last
 %Change
 Low
 High

Au- Dec
1,622.60
0.32
    1,611.30
1,642.50

 Pt-Jan
        1,519.50
         (0.87)
    1,513.50
  1,548.50

 Pd-Dec
           614.10
         (1.52)
       612.00
     636.25

 Ag-Dec
           30.310
       (0.690)
       29.900
     31.335

 EFPs
Au 1.60/2.40
Pt 3/7
 Pd .50/4.5
 Ag 0/6

London
AM
PM
Minor
PGMs

Au
        1,629.00
   1,620.00
 Rh
1700

Pt
        1,538.00
   1,538.00
 Ru
160

Pd
           627.00
      614.00
 Ir 
1100

Ag
             30.45
 DJI
  11,084.58
      (69.40)

FX
Last
 %Change
 Low
 High

EUR
           1.3447
(1.09)
       1.3420
     1.3601

JPY
76.82
(0.01)
76.46
76.97

GBP
           1.5563
(0.39)
       1.5528
     1.5628

CHF
           0.9046
0.84
       0.8960
     0.9053

Others
Last
 %Change
 Low
 High

 Crude- Dec
           81.520
       (0.990)
       83.390
     80.210

 Copper-Dec
             3.180
       (1.760)
          3.190
        3.180

*THESE PRICES ARE FOR INDICATION ONLY CALL FOR QUOTES


Date
Time
Statistic
For
Actual
Forecast
Expects
Prior
Revised
30-Sep
8:30 AM
Aug
-0.10%
-0.30%
0.10%
0.10%
0.30%
30-Sep
8:30 AM
Personal Spending
Aug
0.20%
-0.20%
0.20%
0.70%
0.80%
30-Sep
8:30 AM
Aug
0.10%
0.20%
0.20%
0.20%
-
30-Sep
9:45 AM
Sep
60.4
53
54
56.5
-
30-Sep
9:55 AM
Sep
49.4
57
57.5
57.8
-

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Gold is still holding above 1630 a positive signal but still looking very weak

A Heraeus Morning Title.jpg

Gold is still holding above 1630 a positive signal but still looking very weak. The rest of the precious group is off at least 1% or more and they look very weak as continued weak economical news put a damper on demand. The US dollar lost ground yesterday on the positive news of a Greek bailout but new concerns that it may not come together is threatening another sell off. This may be a game changer. Physical buyers continue to buy at these levels both in Asia and the US but the investment market remains unconvinced of a recovery as indicated by recent losses in Gold ETF positions. However all other economic factors remain the same and a Global Economic recovery remains a distant dream. Note: Rh and Ru lose ground as well.
9/28/2011 10:19
Last
 %Change
 Low
 High

Au- Dec
1,638.50
(0.84)
    1,633.20
1,672.00

 Pt-Jan
        1,545.50
         (2.02)
    1,535.00
  1,573.80

 Pd-Dec
           636.70
         (2.03)
       636.70
     657.00

 Ag-Dec
           30.805
       (2.310)
       30.715
     32.880

 EFPs
Au 1.50/2.50
Pt 4/8
 Pd .50/4.5
 Ag 1/7

London
AM
PM
Minor
PGMs

Au
        1,655.00
   1,643.00
 Rh
1700

Pt
        1,559.00
   1,556.00
 Ru
160

Pd
           650.00
      644.00
 Ir 
1100

Ag
             31.04
 DJI
  11,211.73
        21.04

FX
Last
 %Change
 Low
 High

EUR
           1.3605
0.10
       1.3539
     1.3690

JPY
76.49
(0.36)
76.29
76.87

GBP
           1.5640
0.05
       1.5603
     1.5677

CHF
           0.8977
0.17
       0.8922
     0.9001

Others
Last
 %Change
 Low
 High

 Crude- Dec
           83.330
       (1.590)
       84.840
     82.920

 Copper-Dec
             3.313
       (3.430)
          3.406
        3.290

*THESE PRICES ARE FOR INDICATION ONLY CALL FOR QUOTES


Date
Time
Statistic
For
Actual
Forecast
Expects
Prior
Revised
28-Sep
7:00 AM
MBA Mortgage Index
24-Sep
9.30%
NA
NA
0.60%
-
28-Sep
8:30 AM
Aug
-0.10%
0.50%
0.10%
4.10%
-
28-Sep
8:30 AM
Durable Ordes ex Transportation
Aug
-0.10%
-0.50%
-0.20%
0.70%
0.80%
28-Sep
10:30 AM
Crude Inventories
24-Sep
-
NA
NA
-7.336M
-