Thursday, May 22, 2014
Yesterday’s FOMC minutes revealed that policymakers will continue to provide assistance
Yesterday’s FOMC minutes revealed that policymakers will continue to
provide assistance to the economy and keep interest rates low. Two
central bankers are set to leave the Fed this month while three are
poised to join before the next policy
meeting. With this change, there could be expectations of uncertainty
in the market in respect to the Fed’s future actions. Before the Fed
decides to raise rates, they will scrutinize the unemployment rate until
the desirable figure is achieved. Raising rates
will be dependent upon improving economic data as the prevailing view
is that inflation will achieve the 2% objective over the next few years.
Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending 5/17 are up 28,000 pulling
gold prices higher this morning. Gold is underpinning
Platinum prices which jumped to a high of 1497.80 this morning for July
delivery. Have a wonderful day.
Monday, May 19, 2014
What a way to start Monday morning with the precious metal market trading on the upside this morning.
What
a way to start Monday morning with the precious metal market trading on
the upside this morning. Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium are
trading in the positive territory up .58%, 1.18%, .96%, .70%
respectively. Platinum and Palladium
are extending their gains this morning amid supply concerns due to the
strike in South Africa. The strike continues in its 16th week and still no resolution in sight. The safe-haven metal is up 7.5% for the year. Have a wonderful day!
Thursday, May 15, 2014
Platinum and Palladium prices have eased this morning as investors sold into the highs to reap profits.
Platinum and Palladium prices have eased this morning as investors sold
into the highs to reap profits. Platinum closed $29.70 higher yesterday
at $1485.70 for July delivery pulling Gold prices higher which closed at
1305.90 for June delivery.
The violence in South Africa has intensified with 4 platinum miners
killed as they tried to return to work. The AMCU is trying to inhibit
other strikers from returning to work via intimidation. More violence
means it will take longer for the producers and
the AMCU to come to a settlement along with less employees returning to
work. April CPI met expectations with a reading of .3%. Initial Jobless
Claims for the week ending 5/9 are down 24,000 with a figure of
297,000. CPI (YoY) is in line with forecasts of
2%. Have a great day!
Monday, May 12, 2014
What a nice way to start this beautiful morning with AU, AG, PT, and PD up 1.05%, 2.39%, .86%, and 1.03%.
What a nice way to start this beautiful morning with AU, AG, PT, and PD
up 1.05%, 2.39%, .86%, and 1.03%. The instability in Ukraine along with a
softer U.S. dollar reversed the selling pressure on gold seen this
morning in the Asian markets.
Geopolitical tensions have been unable to extend gold’s gains above the
$1300 level. The strike continues and at this point job cuts and
restructuring at Lonmin are bound to happen as earnings decline. Quiet
day this morning with limited news and data. Have
a great Monday!!
Friday, May 9, 2014
Yesterday Janet Yellen spoke once again at Capitol Hill to reiterate what she said on Wednesday.
Yesterday
Janet Yellen spoke once again at Capitol Hill to reiterate what she
said on Wednesday. The markets didn’t move much since Yellen was
repeating what everyone already knew. Putin made an announcement to
postpone the referendum,
however Pro-Moscow separatists ignored the call and declared that they
will proceed with a vote on Sunday that could result in chaos! According
to ECB President Mario Draghi, the bank will take any action necessary
in June to strengthen the economy if inflation
objectives are not met. PGM prices continue to be underpinned by the
ongoing strike in South Africa. Have a wonderful weekend!
Thursday, May 8, 2014
Yesterday, the Fed Chair testified and discussed that there is still a considerable amount of slack...
Yesterday, the Fed Chair testified and discussed that there is still a
considerable amount of slack in the labor market, particularly in the
housing sector. Yellen believes economic activity will expand,
unemployment will decline gradually,
and inflation will reach the 2% objective. The rate of long term
unemployment has plenty of room for improvement and thus monetary
accommodation is still necessary. Once again, Yellen mentioned that
rates would have to stay low for a “considerable” time period
even when quantitative easing is over. As per Yellen, geopolitics is a
prominent economic risk as tensions in Ukraine continue to intensify. We
saw a selloff yesterday in the markets when Putin announced he would
pull his troops away from the Ukrainian border
and delay the referendum. Gold and Silver declined closing on the
downside $19.70 at 1288.90 for June delivery and closing .303 cents
lower at 19.342 for July delivery. The BOE and ECB have both decided to
leave rates unchanged at .50% and .25% respectively.
Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending 5/3 dropped 26,000 with a
reading of 319,000. This drop was expected with people away for the
Easter holiday. Have a great day!
Wednesday, May 7, 2014
Precious metals market is down this morning with AU, AG, PT, and PD trading .32%, .54%, .98%, 1.12% on the downside this morning.
Precious metals market is down this morning with AU, AG, PT, and PD
trading .32%, .54%, .98%, 1.12% on the downside this morning. We have
seen gold trading sideways amid the political turmoil in Ukraine and the
Fed’s decision to taper
by another $10B/month. Investors are waiting for Yellen’s comments
later this morning at 10:00 a.m. Markets will have their ears open for
any indications about when investors should expect to see a raise in
rates. Still no resolution between the Platinum producers
and the AMCU as the strike continues for the fifteenth week. Have a
great day!!
Monday, May 5, 2014
What a great way to start the morning with the precious metals complex trading on the upside
What a great way to start the morning with the precious metals complex
trading on the upside. Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium are all up
.87%, .73%, .91%, and .46% respectively. Gold’s losses were limited on
Friday despite a stronger
than forecasted jobs report due to an increased number of workers
dropping out of the labor force. The economic data was favorable for the
gold bulls with the metal closing $19.50 higher on Friday at 1302.90
for June delivery. It’s expected to be a quiet day
today since London is closed for May Day holiday. The latest update on
the strike is that the union didn’t accept the platinum producers’
revised offer. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI figures will be released today
at 10:00 a.m. Have a fabulous day.
Thursday, May 1, 2014
We saw more action yesterday morning in the precious metals market with first quarter’s weak GDP number than we did when the FOMC minutes were released yesterday afternoon.
We saw more action yesterday morning in the precious metals market with
first quarter’s weak GDP number than we did when the FOMC minutes were
released yesterday afternoon. The Fed is trimming its bond purchases by
another $10 billion from
$55 billion/month to $45 billion/month. According to the Fed, a weak
first quarter GDP was expected due to adverse weather conditions.
Quantitative easing is expected to be completed by October while rates
are expected to rise by mid-2015. “The Committee expects
that, with appropriate policy accommodation, economic activity will
expand at a moderate pace and labor market conditions will continue to
improve gradually.” Now that the Fed has continued its pull back program
by another $10B as expected, investors are anxiously
waiting for tomorrow’s Nonfarm Payroll figures. Initial Jobless Claims
for the week ending 4/26 are up 14,000 with a reading of 344,000.
Personal spending for March is up .9% vs. expectations of.6%. Have a
wonderful day!
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