Tuesday, September 23, 2014
An air attack on ISIS in Syria by allied forces caused gold to spike on safe haven demand.
An air attack on ISIS in Syria by allied forces caused gold to spike on
safe haven demand. Yet it was short lived as the world is now used to
this constant geopolitical angst and is more concerned with economic
news. Fed Governor Kocherlakota
intimated that inflation will remain low and that they will be cautious
about raising rates. This tone is not really a strong signal in either
direction and will still keep gold bugs at bay. Positive news out of
China as their Manufacturing Index beat estimates
at 50.50 gives an overall positive signal for the continued improvement
of the world economies. The recent upward move has not changed overall
trajectory as yet and only the PGMs will find some support on recent
news, due to their demand for catalyst in the
exhaust systems, from the automotive sector which is doing well in all
markets.
Thursday, September 18, 2014
Yesterday’s Federal Reserve statement was no surprise but staying on the same path still means lower for precious metals.
Yesterday’s Federal Reserve statement was no surprise but staying on
the same path still means lower for precious metals. The metal leading
the way on this downward direction is still the gold which is under the
financial pressure of
the strengthening US dollar. Technical indicators though are signaling
an oversold condition in silver and gold will soon be there. This may
cause a turn in the current downward trend. Additionally a NO vote on
the Scottish referendum may have a positive effect
on the British pound maybe taking some wind out of the US dollar sails.
Housing Starts report this morning was weaker than expected but not
weak enough to change the view on the economy.
Tuesday, September 9, 2014
Little to report this morning as it was no surprise to most people that watch the market that gold succumbed to downward pressure yesterday
Little to report this morning as it was no surprise to
most people that watch the market that gold succumbed to downward
pressure yesterday and the
rest of the precious metals group followed. Even palladium has suffered
from the recent short side selling. But more telltale signs may be the
abandonment of investors from the gold market as seen in Bloomberg ETF
report with a decline in the past month of
18.5 tons. The market will most likely remain under pressure as the US
Dollar surges in strength on the recent positive economic outlook and
the belief that the US economy will continue to improve. As mentioned
yesterday the Retail Sales number on Friday will
be an important indicator of things to come. Tomorrow’s release from
China about their Consumer Price Index should be watched as well.
Thursday, September 4, 2014
The precious metals group is all in the green across the board this morning.
The precious metals group is all in the green across the board this
morning. Doubts of any peace settlement brokered by Russia for the
Ukraine has grown and the market has taken that into account, more so
though for the price palladium.
However the bigger influence on prices overall are the ECB rate
decision down to .05% from .15% and the announcement of their own
version of QE which is to begin in October. The ADP Payroll report was
lower than expected at 204k. The ISM Manufacturing number
for August was better than expected compensating any negative sentiment
for the US dollar after the ADP report. However we can expect to see a
quiet day for precious metals ahead of the Unemployment Data for the US
which will be released tomorrow morning.
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