If employment data is the litmus test
by which the Federal Reserve will determine further stimulus measures
then it would seem that last week’s poor jobs numbers would make the
decision a no-brainer. However, markets remain relatively
cautious ahead of the Fed’s announcement despite this morning’s report
on initial jobless claims (up 15,000 to 382,000). Gold has seen some
profit taking but that is to be expected following a ~$40 surge since
Friday’s jobs report. The yellow metal corrected
a bit on Wednesday but has found good support around $1736 ahead of the
Fed’s 12:30 pm EST policy statement. The PGM complex continues to see
the bulk of its recent support coming from the ongoing wage disputes in
South Africa’ mining sector. Anglo American
Platinum, the world’s #1 platinum producer, was forced to suspend
operations at its Rustenburg mine as workers there are being threatened
and blocked from going to work. Platinum has added more than .5% in
early trading currently trading at $1653 after touching
as high as $1660.50. Palladium has added more than .5% as well and
currently trades just shy of its high at $683.50. The precious metals
complex should trade in tight ranges until the Fed’s announcement and
while there is a chance Mr. Bernanke could avoid
pushing the QE3 button, it doesn’t seem likely and there is still more
room to the upside. Buckle your seatbelts and hold on to your hats…today
could get quite interesting. Have a great day!
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