Thursday, May 23, 2013
Gold took market participants for a wild ride yesterday as Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke testified
Gold took market participants for a wild ride yesterday as Fed Chairman,
Ben Bernanke testified before congress. The yellow surged as testimony
got underway, fixing at $1408.50 just before a punishing move to the
downside that had gold
trading in the $1350’s and eventually closing the day at $1367.40. The
basic gist of Mr. Bernanke’s comments regarding the future of QE - it
depends. A “premature” pull back on asset purchases could have a
detrimental effect on the economic recovery but a
continued improvement, evidenced by any improvement in future economic
data, could signal that it’s time to pull on the reigns. The tapering of
QE3 could come as early as the next few FOMC meetings, or not. If past
benchmarks are still truly benchmarks – inflation
and unemployment – unless the economy can somehow get that 7.5%
unemployment rate down 1% in the next few months, it’s unlikely we’ll
see an end or a significant decline in the rate of asset purchasing by
the Fed. Where does this leave us? Pretty much where
we left off before the Chairman’s rhetoric...both in our knowledge of
QE’s future and gold’s price. Gold closed Tuesdays session at $1377 and
was relatively unchanged before 10:00 AM Wednesday. The yellow metal now
trades just a few dollars higher at $1383.
Chairman Bernanke would make a great weatherman…”it might rain
tomorrow, but it might not”. Elsewhere in the financial landscape
equities are taking some heat this morning following not-so-good data
out of China. The world’s second largest economy saw its
manufacturing PMI index slip into contraction territory for the first
time in seven months pushing world markets into negative territory for
their respective sessions. The Nikkei took a 7.3% haircut and now the
spillover effect has US markets in the red early
on. PGMs are under some pressure following the dismal data, platinum is
off more than $10 while palladium trades at $739…more than 1.5% off to
start the day.US first time unemployment claims fell by 23K last week
but we’ll have to wait until June 7th
to get a better view of the jobs picture here in the states. Have a great day.
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