Tuesday, December 10, 2013
If we see any drastic movement in gold from now until Dec 17-18, it is most likely because investors are getting signals of when tapering will occur.
If
we see any drastic movement in gold from now until Dec 17-18, it is most
likely because investors are getting signals of when tapering will
occur. James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis, discussed that the Fed is likely to scale back its
asset purchase program sometime soon given the positive economic data
released last week. According to Bullard, a small possible tapering
could be seen in the next meeting. Let’s face it,
the Fed can’t inject money into the economy forever! By initiating a
small taper, the Fed acknowledges an improvement in the labor market and
still has a chance to monitor inflation. Bullard believes a small taper
is a good idea because if inflation doesn’t
meet target levels then the Fed can simply put tapering on pause. The
Fed promises to keep interest rates near zero even when quantitative
easing is over as long as the unemployment rate falls to 6.5% and
inflation doesn’t climb above 2.5%. Richard Fisher,
President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas thinks that the Fed
should begin tapering ASAP accompanied by a timeline of when markets can
expect see an end to the asset-purchase program. Despite all the taper
chatter, we see gold still manages to hold its
gains from yesterday! This suggests that perhaps traders aren’t as
nervous about what the Fed’s next move could be. PT seems to be
following AU’s upward momentum and broke through $1400 this morning.
Have a great day!
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