Have a wonderful day.
Thursday, December 19, 2013
Yesterday the Fed announced to take baby steps and begin winding down its asset purchase program in January.
Yesterday
the Fed announced to take baby steps and begin winding down its asset
purchase program in January. The Fed will cut its QE pace next month to
$75B on improved job market outlook reducing Treasury and MBS purchases
by $5B each.
Although this is a modest tapering, we knew the Fed would begin
tapering, we just didn’t know when. Gold had a knee-jerk reaction once
the minutes were released plunging to the 1220 level and bouncing back
up to a high of 1244 just moments later. The Fed remains
dovish on rates and wants to keep the federal funds target rate between
0-.25% as long as the unemployment rate remains above the 6.5%
threshold and inflation doesn’t exceed more than a half percentage
point above the 2% long run target range. The markets
rallied by more than 290 points after absorbing the news with the DJIA
closing at a new high of 16,167.97. Markets welcomed the tapering with
open arms as they should since this cut back can stimulate confidence
into the economy. Bernanke’s “timeline” is to
continue having a systematic month to month tapering at increments of
$10B/month as long as economic data meets expectations. Janet Yellen,
the soon to be Federal Reserve Chairwoman, supports Bernanke’s decision
of a modest cutback since the economic recovery
still remains far from complete. Initial jobless claims for the week
ending 12/14 are at 379,000 vs. last week’s claims of 369,000. Gold
continues to head towards a downward path as we are currently watching
it break under 1200!
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