Markets
still managed to rally on Friday despite a disappointing jobs report. I
guess this means that bad news can be good news!! The dollar fell in
response to the data and gold was able to see some gains throughout the
day. The question
to ask is when will we see a solid jobs report whose numbers are not
biased towards the weather? We’ve already seen snowstorms in February so
perhaps we will have to wait until March to get a better snapshot of
the U.S. economy. It’s unlikely that the Fed
is going to put tapering on hold. Perhaps the Fed would question its
pullback effects if it saw weaker employment data and lower inflation
rates down the road. The issue at hand is whether the economy is
performing poorly because the recovery has become stagnant
or because the snow storms have been slowing down manufacturing growth
and people from job hunting. Economists would like to believe it’s
because of the weather. If the weather is to be blamed then why did we
see a decline in the unemployment rate? There are
2 reasons to consider: the unemployment benefits for 1.3 million
Americans expired in December so people are actively seeking for jobs
and getting hired while others are simply tired of looking for work and
have exited the labor force. Have a great day!
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