Thursday, February 20, 2014
The Fed Minutes were released yesterday and the tapering continues!
The Fed Minutes were released yesterday and the tapering continues!
Certain policy makers expressed concern yesterday that it’s time to
raise rates before the mid-year since we are approaching the 6.5%
unemployment rate threshold. On the
other hand, doves feel it’s too soon to raise rates as lingering
effects of the financial crisis remain. The overall sentiment for the
U.S. economy is positive as officials blame weak economic data on bad
weather. The reduction program will continue as seen
appropriate “until the outlook for the labor market has improved
substantially in a context of price stability.” The Fed reiterated that
the cut back in asset purchases is not on a pre-set schedule and the
pace of tapering is contingent upon labor market
conditions and inflation meeting its long term objectives. The precious
metals complex didn’t take the news so well and prices dropped
instantaneously. Tapering is unfavorable for gold and so are talks about
raising rates as investors would prefer to put their
money into interest bearing assets. The Core CPI (MoM) is .1% as
expected and Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending 2/15 is 336,000
vs. the forecast of 335,000. Have a great day.
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