Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Another quiet trading morning with precious metals

Another quiet trading morning with precious metals locked into the comfortable trading range. Commodities sold off yesterday on China raising fuel prices and concerns about the potential slowdown there. Traders will be listening closely to US Fed Chairman Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Geithner’s testimony with the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, regarding European debt crisis and US exposure to it. Markets will try to find any clues to potential QE3 or the lack of one in the testimony. Despite a mild recovery of the US housing and labor markets, China and Europe will continue to dominate headlines. Any spread of European financial crisis beyond Greece, deteriorating economic news out of China, and any worsening in US economic data would deliver serious blows to equity markets, crude prices, and industrial metals. We reiterate our position to buy gold and silver on any significant sell off and sell platinum and palladium above $1725 and $725 respectively. We are still concerned about the global economic recovery and the slow winding of the loose monetary policies worldwide. We would trade the precious metals within the trading ranges and closely monitor headline news.

Metals

Last

%Change

Low

High

Au- Apr

1659.5

0.77%

1646.3

1661.9

Pt-Apr

1644.2

-0.62%

1635.5

1664.5

Pd-Jun

695.7

-0.14%

683.80

701.30

Ag-May

32.325

1.54%

31.865

32.410

London

AM

PM

Minor

PGMs

Au

1656

-

Rh

1525

Pt

1654

1640

Ru

130

Pd

696

690

Ir

1100

Ag

31.97

DJI

13155.5

-14.69

Currencies

USD

EUR

JPY

GBP

USD

0

1.3249

0.011941

1.5852

EUR

0.7548

0

0.90123

1.1965

JPY

83.75

110.95

0

132.749

GBP

0.6309

0.83579

0.7533

0

Crude Brent

124.27

Comex Copper

385.65

Crude WTI

106.41

Nat Gas

2.328

*THESE PRICES ARE FOR INDICATION ONLY CALL FOR QUOTES


Monday, March 19, 2012

Markets are very quiet overnight

Markets are very quiet overnight and this morning with no economic news. The precious metals continue to be range bound. With the US economy improving and lingering questions about contagion of the European financial crisis to Portugal and/or others, we expect the dollar to strengthen in the coming week. We would be buyers of gold and silver at any major selloff as we think the metals are oversold in the short term. We would be a seller of platinum and palladium above $1750 and $725 as economic fundamentals would not support prices at those levels. Keep a close eye on euro/dollar and metals ratios for trading opportunities. We would trade lightly and be on the lookout for major headline new risks. All signs point to a very quiet Monday.

Metals

Last

%Change

Low

High

Au- Apr

1655.2

-0.04%

1652.3

1665.1

Pt-Apr

1675

-0.04%

1670.5

1684

Pd-Jun

702.65

0.07%

698.00

703.90

Ag-May

32.490

-0.35%

32.330

32.770

London

AM

PM

Minor

PGMs

Au

1654

-

Rh

1525

Pt

1672

1673

Ru

130

Pd

700

702

Ir

1100

Ag

32.44

DJI

13218.59

-14.03

Currencies

USD

EUR

JPY

GBP

USD

0

1.3156

0.011975

1.586

EUR

0.7599

0

0.91017

1.2055

JPY

83.5

109.86

0

132.435

GBP

0.6305

0.8295

0.7551

0

Crude Brent

125.36

Comex Copper

390.25

Crude WTI

107.44

Nat Gas

2.329

*THESE PRICES ARE FOR INDICATION ONLY CALL FOR QUOTES


Thursday, March 15, 2012

With very little news coming from the Asian and European fronts

With very little news coming from the Asian and European fronts, the markets turned their attention to the US economic data this morning. The weekly US initial jobless claims and continuing claims data were both better than expected at 351k and 3343k respectively. US producer price index rose 0.4% and excluding food and energy rose 0.2% in Feb while rising 3.3% and 3.0% year over year. The data points to a recovering labor market in the US and the inflation numbers might keep the US Fed from further QE until there are signs of deteriorating economic conditions in the US or around the world. The commodity markets have been range bound today after the volatility of the past few trading sessions. The commodity bulls are still holding onto the idea that central banks around the world will continue to pump liquidity into the financial systems while economic recoveries will stall due to China and austerity measures in Europe. The commodity bears are looking at financial stability in Europe and better economic situation in the US to sell off gold and silver. We believe that QE3 in the US is most likely not coming in the near future but the Fed will continue to leave interest rates at historical lows as the fragile economies around the world continue to recover. China is the 300lb gorilla in the room and all eyes will be on their balancing act between curbing the housing bubble and growing the economy at the same time. We believe that gold and silver are oversold and nearing a bottom in the short term and would be a buyer on the next strong sell off. We expect platinum and palladium to continue to trade in a range. We would be watching the platinum/gold and gold/silver ratio for any trading opportunities while the metals search for directions.

Metals

Last

%Change

Low

High

Au- Apr

1648.8

0.36%

1636.2

1651.9

Pt-Apr

1678.5

0.23%

1661.4

1684.9

Pd-Jun

700

0.36%

690.20

701.95

Ag-May

32.270

0.28%

31.935

32.620

London

AM

PM

Minor

PGMs

Au

1646.75

1648

Rh

1525

Pt

1680

1676

Ru

130

Pd

698

693

Ir

1100

Ag

32.36

DJI

13196.79

2.69

Currencies

USD

EUR

JPY

GBP

USD

0

1.3078

0.012015

1.5672

EUR

0.7649

0

0.91898

1.1984

JPY

83.22

108.83

0

130.415

GBP

0.6381

0.83445

0.7668

0

Crude Brent

122

Comex Copper

388

Crude WTI

104.36

Nat Gas

2.302

*THESE PRICES ARE FOR INDICATION ONLY CALL FOR QUOTES