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Thursday, November 10, 2011

Downward pressure on the precious metals

It looks like momentum trading driven by technical triggers since yesterday morning has driven continued downward pressure on the precious metals. Another cause is possibly the fact that LCH Clearnet raised margins on the Italian Bonds which may have caused liquidation of other assets to meet margin demands. However the gold ETF continued to add indicating that long term investors are not convinced of this downward turn. With the Italian Bonds trading above 7% and Chinese appetite for gold it appears that this downturn looks temporary at best. If the Euro shakes apart as many as starting again to intimate then gold and the rest of the group should benefit. But for the short term momentum traders have taken the lead. The US news releases this morning continue to show very slow but continued improvement in the US economy, a net zero effect.

11/10/2011 10:14

Last

%Change

Low

High

Au- Dec

1,756.50

(1.95)

1,753.50

1,776.90

Pt-Jan

1,617.80

(1.57)

1,612.50

1,636.00

Pd-Dec

645.20

(1.47)

636.00

650.00

Ag-Dec

33.555

(2.340)

33.325

34.340

EFPs

Au 1/1.70

Pt 2/6

Pd .25/4.25

Ag -2/4

London

AM

PM

Minor

PGMs

Au

1,766.00

1,756.00

Rh

1700

Pt

1,628.00

1,627.00

Ru

140

Pd

645.00

648.00

Ir

1100

Ag

33.71

DJI

11,865.22

84.28

FX

Last

%Change

Low

High

EUR

1.3569

0.19

1.3480

1.3653

JPY

77.67

(0.17)

77.52

77.87

GBP

1.5901

(0.13)

1.5886

1.5985

CHF

0.9081

(0.15)

0.9015

0.9153

Others

Last

%Change

Low

High

Crude- Dec

96.990

1.300

98.040

95.200

Copper-Dec

3.357

(2.450)

3.429

3.318

*THESE PRICES ARE FOR INDICATION ONLY CALL FOR QUOTES

Date

Time

Statistic

For

Actual

Forecast

Expects

Prior

Revised

10-Nov

8:30 AM

Initial Claims

5-Nov

390K

400K

400K

400K

397K

10-Nov

8:30 AM

Continuing Claims

29-Oct

3615K

3700K

3690K

3683K

--

10-Nov

8:30 AM

Export Prices ex-ag.

Oct

-1.50%

NA

NA

0.20%

0.30%

10-Nov

8:30 AM

Import Prices ex-oil

Oct

-0.20%

NA

NA

0.20%

--

10-Nov

8:30 AM

Trade Balance

Sep

-$43.1B

-$46.0B

-$45.9B

-$44.9B

-$45.6B

10-Nov

2:00 PM

Treasury Budget

Oct

-

-$95.0B

-$105.0B

-$140.4B

-

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