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Thursday, January 12, 2012

US initial jobless claims was at 399k

Let’s begin with the headlines first in chronological order: Chinese CPI year over year is at 4.1% and the PPI at 1.70%. Spanish and Italian bond sales were successful with yields down to 3.384% (3 year bond) and 2.735% (12 month) respectively. Both the Bank of England and the ECB left interest rates unchanged at 0.50% and 1%. US retail sales was up 0.1%, down 0.2% less auto, and unchanged less auto and gas which were all lower than expected. US initial jobless claims was at 399k and the continuing claims was at 3628k, both higher than expected.


The conventional wisdom out there is that Chinese inflation seems to be under control, leaving the Central Bank of China more room to ease monetary policy. The European crisis seems to have subsided for the time being. The US data points to a tough employment environment and sluggish economy. With the world economy still in limbo, I am confused by the commodity rally for the past few days. Is 4.1% inflation rate in China something to cheer about? We would continue to trade carefully here as the commodities rally might be overdone.

Metals

Last

%Change

Low

High

Au- Feb

1661.3

1.32%

1640.9

1662.9

Pt-Apr

1503.4

0.37%

1496.0

1512.5

Pd-Mar

643.45

-0.12%

640.90

649.00

Ag-Mar

30.600

2.39%

29.870

30.675

London

AM

PM

Minor

PGMs

Au

1652.5

1661

Rh

1375

Pt

1500

1498

Ru

110

Pd

641

645

Ir

1100

Ag

30.58

DJI

12406.65

-42.8

Currencies

USD

EUR

JPY

GBP

USD

0

1.2823

0.013035

1.5339

EUR

0.7797

0

1.01661

1.1963

JPY

76.72

98.37

0

117.674

GBP

0.6519

0.83593

0.8497

0

*THESE PRICES ARE FOR INDICATION ONLY CALL FOR QUOTES


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