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Tuesday, September 4, 2012

While Friday’s Jackson Hole symposium, highlighted by Chairman Bernanke’s speech

Good Morning,
 
While Friday’s Jackson Hole symposium, highlighted by Chairman Bernanke’s speech, didn’t result in any definitive stimulus action by the Fed, Mr. Bernanke’s rhetoric did give investors reason to believe that QE3 is on the horizon. This promptly pushed the precious metals complex higher and with the light volume heading into the Labor Day weekend gold quickly tested the $1700 level while silver breached $32. Platinum is now above the $1550 mark and palladium was able to pare losses from earlier in the week and is now trading above $635. No longer is a crumbling economic foundation the parameter by which the Fed will decide on further monetary easing but a merely stagnant economy seems like it will be enough to tip the scales in favor of QE come the next FOMC meeting on September 12t– 13th. Chairman Bernanke cited unemployment, currently at 8.3%, as a cause for concern and, come Friday’s government jobs data, could further support the case for an economic booster shot. In the broader global economy, China’s government manufacturing index showed a decline to 49.2 from 50.1 indicating that factory activity is contracting. However, hopes of progress on the European front seem to have counter-balanced the concern, for now, ahead of the ECB’s highly anticipated meeting on Thursday. ECB President Mario Draghi is expected to release details of a bond buying program in the region aimed at thwarting fiscal collapse in peripheral economies and hopefully kick-starting a rally out of the current economic rut. The U.S. Markets will take in the ISM Manufacturing Index at 10:00 am EST followed by July construction spending figures. Auto Sales will come out throughout the day. Have a great day!

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